Tulani Ngwenya
LUSAKA, Zambia – The future of electricity in Zambia and Zimbabwe is hanging by a thread as the Kariba Dam, the heart of the region’s power grid, faces a critical water shortage. The Zambezi River Authority (ZRA) published a new report on Monday, 3 June 2024, and it paints a bleak picture of the dam’s ongoing decline in water inflow.
The situation at the Chavuma gauging station, a key indicator of water entering the dam, is particularly alarming. ZRA data shows a dramatic drop in river flow over the past month, with inflows reaching a meagre 370 cubic metres per second (m3/s) on 3 June. This is a staggering 35% decrease compared to last year, raising fears that Kariba Dam may not be able to generate enough electricity to meet the demands of both Zambia and Zimbabwe.
While a slight increase in water flow exists at Victoria Falls, it offers little comfort. The flow rate remains significantly lower than last year, and the declining inflows have had a direct impact on Kariba Lake levels. The water level currently sits at a concerning 12.82% of the dam’s total capacity, a significant drop compared to 29.12% on the same date in 2023.
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The ZRA remains committed to monitoring the situation, but experts warn of potential power generation limitations in the coming months. This could lead to extended blackouts, disrupting homes, businesses, and critical infrastructure. Limited water supplies for agriculture could also have a devastating impact on food security in the region.
The looming crisis is forcing the ZRA and the governments of Zambia and Zimbabwe to scramble for solutions. Exploring alternative energy sources, such as solar or thermal power, to lessen reliance on Kariba Dam for electricity generation is a likely course of action. Additionally, increased regional cooperation on water management practices might be crucial in the long run.
The coming months will be critical for the Kariba Dam and the millions of people who depend on it. Whether the region can weather this storm and find sustainable solutions remains to be seen. With every passing day, the pressure mounts, and the very lifeblood of Zambia and Zimbabwe’s economies hangs in the balance.